Data in this graph are copyrighted. Please review the copyright information in the series notes before sharing. Smoothed recession probabilities for the United States are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. This model was originally developed in Chauvet, M. For additional details, including an analysis of the performance of this model for dating business cycles in real time, see: Chauvet, M.
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Joshua Kushner born June 12, is an American businessman, heir and investor. He is the founder and managing partner of the investment firm Thrive Capital , co-founder of Oscar Health , and the son of billionaire real estate magnate Charles Kushner. His brother is Jared Kushner , the son-in-law and former senior advisor to former U. President Donald Trump. Kushner grew up in a Jewish family in Livingston, New Jersey.
Frederick's of Hollywood was an American lingerie retail chain, with stores in many shopping malls across the US. After filing for bankruptcy in , 93 retail stores were closed, the brand was acquired by Authentic Brands Group and it was relaunched as an online-only store. The business was started by Frederick Mellinger  inventor of the push-up bra in The original flagship store  was a landmark on Hollywood Boulevard in Hollywood, California. In September , after 59 years, the store moved near the corner of Hollywood Boulevard and Highland Avenue.